On yesterdays telephone conference it was asked what the target number of events is for the ongoing CUP trial and the answer from the CEO was 68. A model based on expressing progression free survival (PFS) as a exponential decay function yielded values of PFS for the BelCaP combination to at least 13 months provided median PFS for CaP is 6.0 months, implying an increase of >100%. This contrasts strongly to the primary endpoint set to +60% and yields the intriguing question of whether this study may serve as a basis for registration. UPDATED 31 JAN 2012 END OF BLOG