Moons of Madness
The reception has been fairly good for the game with a Metascore and userscore around 70 and 74% positive reviews among users on Steam. Currently, we model net sales of USD 0.3 million (based on estimated sales numbers from Steamspy). We expect net sales of approximately USD 0.6 million in Q4 2019 from Moons of Madness.
Earlier we expected that Moons of Madness would be released on consoles as well (PS4 and Xbox One) during Q4. These releases have been postponed until January 21, 2020. It is, of course, a possibility the game will be released on Xbox Game Pass which would secure some of the investment for Funcom. We estimate Funcom has invested around USD 1.5 million in this project, so the game has still a relatively good chance to be profitable.
Game sales below our estimates and a postponed release on consoles results in a lowered expected revenue in Q4 for Moons of Madness of around USD 1.4 million. We, therefore, estimate net sales of USD 0.6 million (USD 2 million).
Mutant Year Zero
Net sales from Mutant Year Zero seem to continue its strong momentum. According to Steamspy 64 000 new owners have been added on the platform during Q3 2019. We do not know how many of these owners come from the user base of Humble Bundle Monthly, which could be considered free users. According to sources Mutant Year Zero has been a success on Epic Games Store as well, after its initial launch as a free game for some days. As we have declared earlier, we believe sales on Nintendo Switch were below our expectations, still we, of course, have some expectations on that release as well. In total we estimate USD 2.3 million of revenue was generated from the game during Q3.
According to Steamspy 110 000 new owners played the game on Steam during Q3. On Playstation 450 000 new player accounts were added (gamstat.com). According to the same source monthly active users were 82 000 on the platform. Most of the new players plays the game for free through the subscription service Playstation Plus.
We have not changed our estimates for Q3 after analysing data from Steamspy and gamstat.se. With new additional content for Conan Exiles including “Mounts” we however expect a strong Q4 for the online game. Our expectation on the Q4-result is therefore similar to before, despite less revenue from Moons of Madness.
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